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Ethnic Minorities and Integration.

There has been a great deal of discussion in the Netherlands recently about the integration of ethnic minorities. The tenor of that discussion is sombre: some observers speak of a 'multicultural drama', while others claim that the government's integration policy has failed completely. Recent political events both in the Netherlands and abroad have led to a deterioration in relations between ethnic minorities and the indigenous population.
It is not easy in such a context to indicate how the integration of ethnic minorities will proceed between now and 2020.
Integration cannot be separated from the extent and nature of immigration. What will be the composition of the population in 2020? Will the educational level of the ethnic population improve further? Will an ethnic middle class emerge? If the social and economic position of ethnic minorities improves, does this mean that contacts between indigenous Dutch citizens and ethnic minority groups will increase and that members of ethnic minorities will begin espousing the same views and displaying the same behaviour patterns as the average indigenous Dutch person?
This mid-range exploration of future trends attempts to provide an answer to these questions.